NYMEX Crude Oil Approaching Possible "Firecracker Impact"

Published 03/06/2013, 05:22 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM

Friday: The April NYMEX crude oil broke below a tight $92.17 to $93.94 six day balance bracket and is approaching a possible "Firecracker Impact" area.

Back in December, the market slowly climbed each day for several days, leaving six close lows in between $87.04 to $89.12. Due to the possibility of their being stops at each of those close lows; the market could quickly accelerate through that range of close lows.

Play In Crude Oil
Firecracker impact
I learnt the term "Firecracker Impact" from my mentor, Jim Dalton. When you light the fuse of a pack of firecrackers, the fuse reaches the first firecracker and it pops. The explosion of the first firecracker triggers the explosion of the second firecracker and so on, causing a popping sound. If the market reaches the $89.12 reference, it could trigger stops, pushing the market lower to the next $88.73 close low triggering the next set of stops. This process could possibly happen at each of the close lows, lowering the market at a fast pace.

Upside move
If the market builds value above Monday's morning balance range, it may test the $91.10 to $91.98 gap. If the market gains acceptance above $91.10 it may attempt to fill the gap. It is not unusual for the 1st attempt to fill such a large gap to fail on the first attempt through.

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