The dollar fell slightly against most of the G10 currencies during the European morning with EUR and CHF being the biggest winners. EUR/USD added to its morning gains after the much-better-than-expected Italian consumer confidence in September (101.1 vs 98.5 exp.), breaking once again above the 1.3500 level.
On the other hand, the NOK experienced the biggest losses of the morning after Norway’s unemployment rate increased in July to 3.6% from (a revised) 3.4%, missing the market’s forecast of 3.3%. USD/NOK and EUR/NOK had both been declining in the early European morning, but from around 1 ½ hours before the data release they both started rising and jumped further when the number came out.
EUR/NOK extended its short-term highs after breaking two resistance barriers in a row (current support levels). During the early European afternoon, the pair is trading between the 8.1162 (S1) and the 8.1615 (R1) levels. A break above the latter should find the pair challenging territories that it last saw back in 2010. However, the rate has moved significantly away from the uptrend line, also above the upper Bollinger band, and alongside with RSI indicating overbought conditions, a pullback during the near future is possible. It is worth mentioning that on the daily chart, a long term uptrend remains in force since January 2013.
- Support levels are identified at 8.1162 (S1), followed by 8.0790 (S2) and 8.0305 (S3). The latter two are found from the weekly chart.
- Resistance is at 8.1615 (R1), followed by 8.2054 (R2) and 8.2532 (R3) respectively
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