As the Fed kicks off its 2-day FOMC meeting today, the rising S&P500 leads us to think that investors have little fear of a potential tapering in the $85 billion injected into markets through quantitative easing. The index has closed in the green in 11 of the past 13 sessions and has gained 4% in September, its best monthly performance of the year. The Canadian dollar has certainly followed suit, rising against the greenback in 8 of the past 13 sessions, to return to the lows reached in August. Now all that remains is to wait for 2 p.m. to hear the Fed's Key Rate decision.
In the meantime, we are awaiting Canadian Manufacturing Sales figures for July. Unlike the performance of certain floundering sports teams, markets anticipate a major turnaround in this situation, with a 0.5% increase in sales compared to the previous -0.5% decline. This could bode well for both the Canadian economy and the CAD.
South of the border, we are awaiting August inflation figures this morning. Markets anticipate growth of 1.6 % in the CPI, down slightly from 2.0 % the previous month. Wishing you a great day! Xavier Villemaire
Range of the day: 1.0285-1.0380