Yesterday, the three heads of the central banks gave speeches that were strangely along the same lines. Unanimously, the central banks stated that they were waiting to see evidence of more convincing economic growth before considering tapering the abnormally accommodating monetary conditions currently in place. The Canadian dollar fluctuated by nearly 90 points yesterday morning but it did not move out of the range it has traded in for the past 5 days. Poloz’s first public appearance therefore did not cause much volatility, with the new governor staying the course established by Mark Carney.
A few economic indicators are expected this morning. In Canada, Wholesale Sales figures for May will be released at 8:30 a.m.. Markets are forecasting an increase of 0.3 % vs. 0.2% for the previous month. Given recent Canadian economic indicators, it would be surprising to see this indicator increase more sharply than forecasts.
South of the border, Initial Jobless Claims figures will be released this morning, forecast to be down slightly at 345,000 for last week. The U.S. economy appears to be gaining ground in terms of job creation. However, a high percentage of the jobs created appear to be part-time positions. We will continue to monitor the situation with the release of the monthly employment data expected on August 2. Wishing you a great day. Xavier Villemaire
Range of the day: 1.0340-1.0440