Natural gas (24.02.14) respected our last 3 articles and almost doubled in price. Hope you all enjoyed.
Now natural gas is trading around $6.37 and as we can see on charts , this area is just below the 61.8% feb correction level of the last downside wave. As the last downside move was very ideal technical move and in respect to that current bounce should be very ideal. At the same time we witness a very strong negative divergence on RSI, pointing for a quick downside move. 3 major gap on charts , too indicate for a reversal or profit booking.
On fundamental side, inventory still on lowest level since 2004 but upcoming reactivation of production rings and mix weather forecast may reduce the of natural gas as heating option.
Based on above studies, we will prefer to take a short position on natural gas for possible targets around $6.25 & then $5.730. A day close above $6.45 will delay the projection.
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