🐂 Not all bull runs are created equal. November’s AI picks include 5 stocks up +20% eachUnlock Stocks

Natural Gas: Play The Bearish Spread

Published 01/23/2014, 01:41 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
NG
-
I can attest to the cold weather having recently moving to Chicago ...coldest winter in decades. Like trading, it's all about timing and my timing on this move coming from Miami, FL. -- NOT Miami, OH. -- was brutal. For the third session in a row an impressive acceleration higher with natural-gas prices gaining 13% within that time frame. Futures are currently trading at their highest levels since June 11'. We are within spitting distance of $5, so expect that level to be tested. As opposed to jumping in front of this freight train, I think it may make sense to trade a spread as opposed to an outright bearish options or futures play.
Below you will see two charts the first is a chart of March futures and the second is a spread chart; long June NG futures and short March NG futures 1:1. While picking a top is dangerous my suggestion is to wade into this trade. On the way up trading a spread your long May leg should ease the pain and if/when we get a correction I would expect March to outpace June on the way down just as it did on the way up.
Natural Gas: March Futures
Currently this spread is trading at a roughly 35-cent premium to March. I drew two horizontal red lines... use them as your risk parameter and profit objective. Assuming one gets filled around current trade, that would represent approximately $400 risk per strategy and a profit objective of $2700 per.
Natural Gas: Spread Chart

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.