The movements of natural gas futures since the announcement of storage declaring an injection of 115 Bcf that resulted in a knee-jerk reaction in natural gas futures that witnessed a steep fall from $3.014 up to $2.914 over the following two hours. Undoubtedly, the reversal was equally strong from there and continued on Friday while natural gas regained its position at $3.942 before closing the last week at $3.012.
The natural gas futures started this week with a gap-up opening at $3.032 and tested a high at $3.046 before filling the opening gap. This is evidence of growing bullish sentiments in natural gas futures. The reason for this growing strength could be the entry of big bulls who love to trade natural gas well above the psychological support at $3.
Generally, the demand and supply equation defines the directional moves of natural gas. But, once in a while, the demand and supply equation could be influenced by other factors that could change the equation. This is the case here as while the whole world has been enduring the denting impact of Covid-19 since January 2020, hopes for a speedy recovery have started to pop up with the decision to unlock industrial production amid lockdowns in different parts of the world. Vaccination efforts could also boost the hopes for economic recovery over the upcoming weeks.
I find that the natural gas futures could find a more sustainable move above $3.150 shortly. Undoubtedly, natural gas could be a good friend of bulls during the upcoming weeks to form a seasonal peak in October-December 2021.
Disclaimer: The author of this analysis does not have any position in Natural Gas futures. Readers are advised to take any position at their own risk; as Natural Gas is one of the most liquid commodities of the world.