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Looming Ceilings For Some ETFs

Published 05/27/2022, 11:45 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
DJI
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US2000
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DIA
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EFA
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ESZ24
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NQZ24
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IWM
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XLY
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Ever since last week, the market has been slicing the heads off bears left and right, with the Dow up thousandsof points and the S&P 500 Futures up about 300. It’s been unrelenting.

S&P 500 Futures Daily Chart.

My view is that all this is going to accomplish is that the surviving 12 bears on the entire planet will just have another opportunity to short at good prices. There may be more upside in some sectors, but there are definitely some ETFs where I can point to logical, and major, resistance levels, like the SPDR® Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (NYSE:DIA):

DIA Chart.

And he worldwide equities iShares MSCI EAFE ETF (NYSE:EFA):

EFA Chart.

(Which, on a much longer timescale, illustrates how beautifully we are mashed up against that incredibly important broken trendline):

Long-Term EFA Chart.

And the iShares Russell 2000 ETF (NYSE:IWM) small caps:

IWM Chart.

And the consumer discretionary Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR® Fund (NYSE:XLY):

XLY Chart.

I’ve mentioned 4100 (approximately) as a key level on the /ES futures, and we’ve pushed past that (strictly speaking, the retracement is at 4165.02, so we have not exceeded the line, as today’s peak has been 4126 as of the composition of this post):

S&P 500 Futures Chart.

The Nasdaq 100 Futures also look enticing:

E-Mini NASDAQ Futures Chart.

In spite of the fact this is probably a sensational time to go “all-in” with shorts, I am simply too bloodied and dazed and cautious to do so. Thus, I remain merely two-thirds committed to positions. Emotions are terrible for good trading, and I regret that mine are still in fully-functioning operation.

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