Bank of Japan (BoJ) at today's monetary meeting raised the ceiling for its asset purchases by JPY10trn to JPY 76trn. The implication is that the pace of BoJ's asset purchases will accelerate slightly to close to 9% of GDP in H1 13 from about 8% of GDP in Q4 12.
Fed's planned purchases of mortgage and government bonds in 2013 is equivalent to close to 6.5% of GDP. Hence, while the increase in the asset purchases was as the lower end of expectations, the bottom line remains that monetary easing in Japan is already quite aggressive.
BoJ also stated that the inflation target will be discussed at its next meeting in January. It now looks increasingly likely that the inflation target will be raised from 1% to 2% in connection with the issuance of a joint BoJ/government statement after the January meeting.
If the inflation target is not raised in January, we think it will be raised after April when a new governor has been appointed to the board. The implication of a higher inflation target is that BoJ's asset purchases will last longer.
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