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Is AUD Topping In The Hourly?

By Leonardo BarataCurrenciesJan 05, 2017 11:40PM ET

www.investing.com/analysis/is-aussie-dollar-(aud)-topping-in-the-hourly-200171629

Is AUD Topping In The Hourly?

By Leonardo Barata | Jan 05, 2017 11:40PM ET

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AUD/USD

-0.97%

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EUR/AUD

+0.23%

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GBP/AUD

+0.44%

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DX

+0.80%

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Aussie dollar pairs are showing some temporary weakness in the 15 minutes to the hourly timeframe, which may result in a short-term reversal. In this post, I analyzed the market’s supply and demand on the 3 of the most traded AUD pairs: AUD/USD, EUR/AUD and GBP/AUD.

AUD/USD

In this pair there was supply at new highs, which often pinpoints the beginning of a downtrend – in new (relative) market highs, there just isn’t trading due to old resistances, and so any supply sign tends to carry more weight. Before looking for a short I would like to see another descending top (lower than the last 2) on low volume, a downtrend confirmation.

Note: Nonfarm employment change and unemployment rate numbers are coming out tomorrow for USD at 1:30 PM GMT

AUD/USD

AUD/USD

EUR/AUD

In EUR/AUD Hourly chart, the price is still moving in sideways, but the volumes are telling another story. They spiked on the market lows, which means there was mostly demand in the last 2 days. A low volume rally to 1.44 would be the trigger for a high probability long trade.

EUR/AUD

EUR/AUD

GBP/AUD

This pair is near a long-term support at 1.68, and just showed a major shake-out (blue dot). It’s probable that it may form an inverse head-and-shoulders, that given the accumulation, would show strength. Even if that doesn’t happen, though, a dip to around 1.687 (previous low) on low volume would still give a long opportunity with a favorable risk:reward.

GBP/AUD

GBP/AUD

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