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Inflation Data Traders Should Be Watching This Week

Published 10/17/2021, 04:37 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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Inflation data from outside the US should pique traders' interest this week. Several major economies will be reporting on actual inflation figures experienced during September 2021.

Will they match their forecasted values, or will the data follow US inflation and surprisingly creep upward?

Who should be watching the inflation data?

Traders of the pound, South African rand, euro, Canadian dollar, and the Japanese yen should circle these dates in their economic calendars.

Why does the Inflation data deserve special attention this week?

While inflation data is usually closely watched, the surprising inflation figures released in the US last week mean traders should be extra vigilant with their inflation watching.

Inflation data chart.

Last week, the US inflation rate (September, YoY) surprised the market by beating expectations. Inflation in the US was expected at 5.3%, level with the rate reported in August. However, the actual figure arrived ten basis points higher (5.4%) and returned inflation to the 13-year high seen a month earlier in July 2021.

As it stands, Trading Economics is forecasting inflation in the US inflation rate (October, YoY) to rise another ten basis points to 5.5%. If inflation were to cross 5.6%, a new 30-year record would still stand (US inflation Jan, YoY, 1991 was 5.7%).

Dates To Watch Out For:

United Kingdom, GBP, Inflation Rate YoY September:

Release: Wednesday, 7:00 pm (NZDT)
Forecast for September: 3.2%
UK inflation data.

South Africa, ZAR, Inflation Rate YoY September:

Release: Wednesday, 9:00 pm (NZDT)
Forecast for September: 4.9%
South Africa inflation data.

European Union Inflation Rate YoY September:

Release: Wednesday, 10:00 pm (NZDT)
Forecast for September: 3.0%
EU inflation data.

Canada Inflation Rate YoY September:

Release: Thursday, 1:30 am (NZDT)
Forecast for September: 4.1%

Canada inflation data.

Japan, JPY, Inflation Rate YoY September:

Release: Friday, 12:30 pm (NZDT)
Forecast for September: -0.4%
Japan inflation data.

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