The latest update on U.S. manufacturing output looks impressive. Per the Federal Reserve’s recently-released data, industrial production including output at mines and utilities rose 0.9% in January after gaining a revised 1.3% in December. Further, the output at factories rose 1% month over month in January compared with a 0.9% gain in December and economists’ projection of a 0.7% increase.
This fourth straight-monthly increase is also highlighting the recovery from the pandemic-induced slowdown. Although the factories continue to struggle with supply-chain disturbances and labor shortages, the output is rebounding as the Fed’s gauge of factory output is just 1.9% below its pre-pandemic level, per a Bloomberg article.
Moreover, mining output, which includes oil and gas exploration rose 2.3% last month. However, production in the utilities sector dipped 1.2% in the previous month. In January, the manufacturing capacity utilization for the industry, which is the measure for studying how efficiently firms are utilizing their resources, was at 74.6%, up from 73.9%, per the Fed’s report. Moreover, total capacity utilization including factories, mines and utilities inched up to 75.6% from 74.9% as stated in a Bloomberg article. The overall plant-use rate was observed just below the pre-pandemic level of 76.9%.
Current U.S. Economic Scenario
U.S. retail sales climbed an impressive 5.3% in January on a month-over-month basis to hit a seven-month high, the Commerce Department informed on Feb 17. In fact, retail sales had declined 1% in December despite the holiday season witnessing record sales last year. Excluding autos, sales rose 5.9%, surpassing analysts’ estimates of a 1% rise.
The U.S. housing sector largely supported the economy by mostly staying resilient to the coronavirus outbreak amid a low-interest rate environment. Per the monthly National Association of Home Builders (NAHB)/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index (HMI), builder sentiment for newly-built single-family homes came in at 84 in February in comparison to 83 points in January, 86 in December, 90 in November and 30 in April (the lowest since June 2012). The metric also surpassed economists’ median forecast of 83, per a Bloomberg poll.
It is also believed that wider coronavirus vaccine rollouts are making a strong case in favor of a faster U.S. economic recovery in 2021. Biden is expected to increase the distribution of coronavirus vaccines by rolling out more funds to the local and state officials, increasing the number of vaccination sites and introducing a national education campaign, per a CNBC article. Moreover, positive developments with regard to discussions on providing an additional stimulus are raising hopes of a faster U.S. economic recovery.
Also, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell recently said that a “patiently accommodative” monetary policy is needed to cushion the economy after observing the sluggish labor market conditions, per a CNBC article.
Industrial ETFs to Gain
Against this backdrop, investors can still keep tabs on the following ETFs (see all industrial ETFs here):
The Industrial Select Sector SPDR Fund XLI
The fund tracks the Industrial Select Sector Index (read: 5 Top-Ranked ETFs That Investors Can Bet On).
AUM: $16.11 billion
Expense Ratio: 0.12%
Vanguard Industrials ETF VIS
The fund tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Industrials 25/50 Index (read: Can Industrial ETFs Gain Despite Mixed Q4 Earnings?).
AUM: $4.25 billion
Expense Ratio: 0.10%
iShares U.S. Industrials ETF IYJ
The fund tracks the Dow Jones U.S. Industrials Index (read: How Are Industrial ETFs Expected to Perform in 2021?).
AUM: $1.41 billion
Expense Ratio: 0.42%
Fidelity MSCI Industrials Index ETF FIDU
The fund tracks the MSCI USA IMI (LON:IMI) Industrials Index.
AUM: $624.2 million
Expense Ratio: 0.08%
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