How Bitcoin Almost Collapsed Last Month

Published 08/08/2019, 03:18 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The price of Bitcoin returned above the $12 000 mark two days ago. As of this writing, the biggest cryptocurrency is still trading in the vicinity of $12k and the larger uptrend appears to be still in progress. Less than two weeks ago, things were not looking so rosy. Bitcoin (BTC/USD) was hovering around $9500 in late-July. In our opinion, a bearish breakout below $9050 was going to open the door for a much bigger decline. However, as long as $9050 was intact, there was still hope for the bulls. The Elliott Wave chart below, sent to subscribers on July 28th, explains why.

BTC/USD

The hourly price chart of Bitcoin revealed that the decline from $13 880 was a w)-x)-y) double zigzag correction. Corrections temporarily interrupt the larger trend. Once a correction is over, the larger trend resumes. In Bitcoin’s case, it seemed the uptrend preceding the double zigzag was ready to continue. There was a five-wave impulse to the upside from $9050 to $11 120, followed by a simple a-b-c zigzag. The 5-3 wave cycle was complete and it made sense to expect more strength in BTC/USD at least as long as $9050 holds. This setup almost failed the very same day.

BTC/USD

It turned out wave “c” was not over at $9566 as we thought. It soon dragged Bitcoin to as low as $9111. However, above $9050 the odds were still in the bulls’ favor. Fortunately, the positive setup survived. Especially for Bitcoin, which often makes 15% moves in both directions in a matter of hours, $61 usually doesn’t make any difference. On July 28th, though, the empty space between $9111 and $9050 made the difference between a crash and a rally. We will never know what was going to happen had $9050 given up. In our opinion, nothing the bulls would have liked. The point is that the failure or the survival of a key level can make a huge difference in the markets. Elliott Wave analysis’ ability to help traders identify those levels is vital.

What will BTC/USD bring next week?

The price of Bitcoin returned above the $12 000 mark two days ago. As of this writing, the biggest cryptocurrency is still trading in the vicinity of $12k and the larger uptrend appears to be still in progress. Less than two weeks ago, things were not looking so rosy. BTCUSD was hovering around $9500 in late-July. In our opinion, a bearish breakout below $9050 was going to open the door for a much bigger decline. However, as long as $9050 was intact, there was still hope for the bulls. The Elliott Wave chart below, sent to subscribers on July 28th, explains why. The hourly price chart of Bitcoin revealed that the decline from $13 880 was a w)-x)-y) double zigzag correction. Corrections temporarily interrupt the larger trend. Once a correction is over, the larger trend resumes. In Bitcoin’s case, it seemed the uptrend preceding the double zigzag was ready to continue. There was a five-wave impulse to the upside from $9050 to $11 120, followed by a simple a-b-c zigzag. The 5-3 wave cycle was complete and it made sense to expect more strength in BTCUSD at least as long as $9050 holds. This setup almost failed the very same day. It turned out wave “c” was not over at $9566 as we thought. It soon dragged Bitcoin to as low as $9111. However, above $9050 the odds were still in the bulls’ favor. Fortunately, the positive setup survived. Especially for Bitcoin, which often makes 15% moves in both directions in a matter of hours, $61 usually doesn’t make any difference. On July 28th, though, the empty space between $9111 and $9050 made the difference between a crash and a rally. We will never know what was going to happen had $9050 given up. In our opinion, nothing the bulls would have liked. The point is that the failure or the survival of a key level can make a huge difference in the markets. Elliott Wave analysis’ ability to help traders identify those levels is vital. What will BTCUSD bring next week?

Read more at: https://ewminteractive.com/bitcoin-almost-collapsed-last-month

The price of Bitcoin returned above the $12 000 mark two days ago. As of this writing, the biggest cryptocurrency is still trading in the vicinity of $12k and the larger uptrend appears to be still in progress. Less than two weeks ago, things were not looking so rosy. BTCUSD was hovering around $9500 in late-July. In our opinion, a bearish breakout below $9050 was going to open the door for a much bigger decline. However, as long as $9050 was intact, there was still hope for the bulls. The Elliott Wave chart below, sent to subscribers on July 28th, explains why. The hourly price chart of Bitcoin revealed that the decline from $13 880 was a w)-x)-y) double zigzag correction. Corrections temporarily interrupt the larger trend. Once a correction is over, the larger trend resumes. In Bitcoin’s case, it seemed the uptrend preceding the double zigzag was ready to continue. There was a five-wave impulse to the upside from $9050 to $11 120, followed by a simple a-b-c zigzag. The 5-3 wave cycle was complete and it made sense to expect more strength in BTCUSD at least as long as $9050 holds. This setup almost failed the very same day. It turned out wave “c” was not over at $9566 as we thought. It soon dragged Bitcoin to as low as $9111. However, above $9050 the odds were still in the bulls’ favor. Fortunately, the positive setup survived. Especially for Bitcoin, which often makes 15% moves in both directions in a matter of hours, $61 usually doesn’t make any difference. On July 28th, though, the empty space between $9111 and $9050 made the difference between a crash and a rally. We will never know what was going to happen had $9050 given up. In our opinion, nothing the bulls would have liked. The point is that the failure or the survival of a key level can make a huge difference in the markets. Elliott Wave analysis’ ability to help traders identify those levels is vital. What will BTCUSD bring next week?

Read more at: https://ewminteractive.com/bitcoin-almost-collapsed-last-month

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.