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Here's Why You Should Still Own Gold

Published 12/18/2013, 12:24 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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As I was watching an interview with Mark Mobius, Chairman of Templeton Investments and one of the wisest investors, one comment stood out to me. Mr Mobius stated that global central banks have printed over 10 trillion dollars in the last 10 years. The chart below shows that the 4 majors have acquired almost $5 trillion by themselves since the global finance crisis started in 2007. According to the chart, as of the 2nd quarter of this year, the 4 major central banks in the West held a balance sheet equivalent to 24% of their respective economies.

Chart 1: Central banks have printed almost $5 trillion since 2007

Central Bank Balance Sheets: US, UK, Eurozone, Japan
Source: McKinsey Research
 
Chart 2: Gold's performance in 2013 is the worst since 1981
Gold YoY Performance
Source: Short Side of Long
 
The asset that has benefited the most and protected investors from this outrages devaluation has been Gold. Over the last decade or so, Gold has been up every single year apart from 2013. As stated many times on this site, only the Nikkei has managed to do something similar into 1989, prior to crashing... so Gold had to correct and is currently doing so. And do not be surprised if the correction drags on for a few more months or quarters too.

But I urge all readers to make sure they own some Gold and continue to buy it at low prices, because central banks' money printing exercise will eventually come home to roost. I expect Gold to make a new high above $2,000 per ounce and surprise all investors (including me) with the heights it eventually reaches.

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