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Retail Hangs Tough, These Sectors Will Likely Follow

Published 07/09/2020, 03:14 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
IWM
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XRT
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IYT
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The malls were high risk before COVID-19, given the number of bankruptcies of chain stores such as Pier 1 and Toys "R" Us.

Online shopping generated malls to become like ghost towns.

Now with COVID-19, one would expect the high risk to go to full-on death and destruction.

Just this week Ann Taylor and Brooks Brothers, two mall staples, filed for bankruptcy.

And who is going to the malls now given social distancing?

Well, that’s the rub.

It is possible that after sitting and moving nothing more than our hands over the keyboard to shop for the last several months, malls could make a comeback.

And why do I say such a crazy thing?

Just look at our sweet little Granny Retail, donned in a leisure suit, just itching to take some mall laps and use her credit card.

After all, is that not the American Economic Modern Family’s matriarch?

XRT Weekly Chart

On the weekly chart, Retail ETF (NYSE:XRT) is above the 200-week moving average, while her husband, Russell 2000 IWM is not.

The 10-DMA is starting to accelerate and just crossed over the 50-WMA (blue line).

XRT is in a weekly accumulation phase. Let that soak in.

Furthermore, it is well outperforming our benchmark.

And finally, our Real Motion indicator shows momentum has gained.

If XRT can clear the Bollinger Band® on RM as well as the 45.00 level in price on a weekly close, Gramps IWM and Transportation ETF (NYSE:IYT), are likely to follow.

And that my friends, is the number one hope to see for the market and the economy.

S&P 500 (SPY) 318.22 is a gap that must fill. 315 pivotal 310 support

Russell 2000 (IWM) 141 then 137 support 146.25 resistance

Dow (DIA) 257 support 262.50 resistance

Nasdaq (QQQ) Inverted hammer doji yesterday-inside day today.

KRE (Regional Banks) Hinging on support

SMH (Semiconductors) 155 support-160 target

IYT (Transportation) 161.50 pivotal support 170 resistance

IBB (Biotechnology) 137.60 closest support

XRT (Retail) 43.40 huge support 45 resistance

Volatility Index (VXX) 32.70 pivotal

Junk Bonds (JNK) 104.50 resistance 101.50 support

LQD (iShs iBoxx High yield Bondsb134.90 support

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