GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY Daily Outlook: November 30, 2012

Daily Pivots: (S1) 131.35; (P) 131.60; (R1) 131.96

The breach of 132.44 resistance suggests that recent rally in GBP/JPY is resuming. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rise is part of the whole rally from 118.82 and would now target 133.48 resistance next. On the downside, break of 130.45 minor support is needed to signal short-term topping. Otherwise, we'll stay cautiously bullish.

In the bigger picture, at this point, we'd like to maintain that price actions from 116.83 (2011 low) are corrective in nature so far. Rise from 118.82 could be the third leg of the pattern from 116.83 and might target 133.48 and above. After all, the likely scenario is that we'll see more range trading between 116.83 and 140.02 (50% retracement of 163.05 to 116.83 at 139.94) ahead, before an eventual downside breakout. We'll favor this view as long as 140.02 resistance holds.
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GBP/JPY" title="GBP/JPY" width="1148" height="733">
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 106.20; (P) 106.51; (R1) 106.86

EUR/JPY's break of 107.13 suggests that rise from 100.32 has resumed. Intraday bias is back on the upside. Current rally is part of the whole rise from 94.11 and EUR/JPY should target 100% projection of 94.11 to 104.58 from 100.32 at 110.79 next, which is close to 111.43 key resistance. On the downside, break of 105.27 support is needed to signal short-term topping. Otherwise, we'll stay bullish in case of retreat.

In the bigger picture, we're favoring the case that whole down trend from 169.96 (2008 high) has completed at 94.11 already, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. The strong break above 55 weeks EMA affirmed this view. Break of 111.43 resistance will confirm this bullish case and bring further medium-term rise to 123.31 (38.2% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 123.08) and above. And, we'd favor this bullish scenario as long as 100.32 support holds.
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EUR/JPY" title="EUR/JPY" width="1148" height="733">