GBP/JPY
Daily Pivots: (S1) 173.48; (P) 173.88; (R1) 174.49;
Intraday bias in the GBP/JPY remains on the upside for 174.84 key resistance. At this point, we'd stay cautious on strong resistance from 174.84 to bring reversal. The medium sideway consolidation pattern could extend with another down leg. Below 172.36 will turn bias back to the downside for 170.95 support first. However, sustained break of 174.84 will confirm larger up trend resumption.
In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 (2011 low) might still extend to above 174.84. Nonetheless, upside momentum is rather unconvincing as seen in weekly MACD. Thus, even in that case, we'd expect strong resistance from 50% retracement retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 183.96 to limit upside. Meanwhile, sustained break of 163.87 support should confirm medium term topping at 174.84 and bring deeper correction to 147.61/156.77 support zone next.
EUR/JPY
Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.65; (P) 138.89; (R1) 139.10;
The consolidation from 137.71 is still in progress and intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral. Near term outlook stays bearish as long as 140.09 resistance holds. The cross is in the third leg of the pattern from 145.68. Break of 137.71 will target 136.22 support next. On the upside, break of 140.09 will indicate near term reversal and turn bias back to the upside for 143.78 resistance.
In the bigger picture, loss of upside momentum was seen in bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. However, EUR/JPY is so far holding above 135.50 key support. Thus, there is no confirmation of trend reversal yet. Break of 145.68 will extend the up trend from 94.11 towards 76.4% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 152.59 before topping. Meanwhile, break of 135.50 will confirm reversal and target 124.95 support.
