The attempted murder of Trump has been followed with significant attempts to unite US politicians and citizens.
Sadly, most of this unification involves continued worship of barbaric relics like fiat and debt.
Gold’s latest rally began from one of my key buy zones for investors.
On this weekly close chart for gold, it’s clear that a breakout to the upside could occur at any time…
And if there’s weakness instead, the bull flag pattern remains intact!
The Fed is clearly supporting the gold bulls, and that support is set to intensify in the coming months.
The East? China’s latest GDP growth numbers were disappointing and that means investors there are going to continue to focus on gold rather than the stock and housing markets.
There’s a decent chance that the citizens of India get a needed tax break in next week’s budget but...
What about the direct taxes on gold? Indian jewellers always call for a duty cut ahead of the annual government budget… and odds appear to be a bit higher that it might finally happen this year.
Given the price action and fundamentals in play, it’s clearly a time for gold bugs to feel jubilant. Investor fear is best reserved for the collapse of fiat against gold… a collapse that is relentless.
The stock market? The Dow and gold chart. There’s a lot of synergy between them… and it should continue if the Fed goes into an easing cycle.
More insight on that cycle. Technically, the 5% zone is huge resistance and recoil action is now in play.
Rates could remain soft for a year or two, especially if Trump wins the election (which is becoming more likely).
A Trump administration is likely to fade the war worship that has been so common under Biden… and focus on tariff taxes against China.
Trump has also said he won’t reappoint rate hawk Jay and may try to transfer some interest rate policy setting from the Fed to the Treasury.
War is inflationary, and a fade in it would put more downward pressure on rates. Tariff taxes are inflationary, but it would take time for Trump’s next round of them to help create a new (and bigger) wave of inflation… probably 1-2 years.
A major 40-year inflation cycle began in 2020, and its launch was mainly related to Corona crisis money printing, Trump’s tariff taxes, and Biden’s wars. There are still 36 years to go in the cycle, but most of what lies ahead is not likely related to events in America.
The gargantuan population of gold-obsessed India will peak around 2060, when the inflation cycle is also technically set to peak.
That country could be producing 30%-50% of the world’s wealth by then. The intensity of Indian citizen demand for gold that will result from that wealth production is almost unimaginable.
The bottom line: There will be bumps in the gold bull era road, but gold bugs in the West likely have 36 years of very happy times ahead.
What about the miners? The exciting GDX (NYSE:GDX) daily chart. Senior and intermediate producers are breaking out to fresh 2024 highs… and pointing the way there for gold!
The mindboggling long-term GDX versus gold chart. Should gold stock bears retire? This chart suggests they should. Note the fabulous push by RSI over the momentum line of 50, and the stunning inverse H&S pattern on Stochastics.
There could be a monthly close over the dotted blue line, a close that may be ushering in one of the longest and most powerful bull moves in the history of markets. The bottom line: A five-year 2021-2025 war cycle is fading, and a 40-year inflation cycle is here.