Gold Falls After Trump’s Win: Are Technicals Pointing Towards a Rebound?

Published 11/07/2024, 04:44 AM
XAU/USD
-
GC
-

Gold prices tumbled over 3% to 2650 USD per troy ounce amid a surging US dollar, influenced by Donald Trump’s definitive win in the US presidential election. As of Thursday, gold prices are holding steady near three-week lows, reflecting ongoing pressure from a robust dollar.
 
Market anticipation has shifted, with investors expecting a more conservative approach from the Federal Reserve to interest rate cuts. Trump’s victory, perceived as pro-inflation due to his protectionist policies, could prompt the Fed to maintain higher lending rates to counter potential inflation spikes, diminishing the appeal of non-yielding assets like Gold.
 
Today’s focus is squarely on the Fed’s interest rate decision, which is anticipated to bring a 25-basis-point cut. This has been priced into the market, influencing the current Gold prices.
 
Gold’s future movements will hinge heavily on the Fed’s commentary and subsequent rate decisions. While rates are projected to decrease, the pace and extent of these cuts will be critical for Gold’s appeal.

 
Technical analysis of Gold
 
XAU/USD analysis
 

Gold’s market dynamics recently peaked at 2790.00, after which a consolidation range formed below this level. Exiting this range downward opened the pathway for a significant correction, with Gold forming its initial corrective wave. The immediate downside target is 2617.40, potentially extending to 2575.75 if the downward trajectory persists. The MACD indicator supports this bearish outlook, with its signal line trending sharply downward below zero, suggesting further declines.
 
XAU/USD analysis
 
The hourly chart outlines a developing downward wave aiming for 2635.65. Should this target be met, a corrective rally to 2683.11 could occur before further declines resume towards 2617.17, marking the primary target in this bearish phase. The Stochastic oscillator indicates potential for short-term upside, with its signal line approaching the 80 level, suggesting a brief corrective uptick before continuing its descent.

By RoboForex Analytical Department
 
Disclaimer
Any forecasts contained herein are based on the author's particular opinion. This analysis may not be treated as trading advice. RoboForex bears no responsibility for trading results based on trading recommendations and reviews contained herein.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.