1.5347
Very Short-Term Trend: Downtrend
Outlook: Yesterday I said the downtrend would likely extend to 1.5260 but still decided to take profits on the hypothetical short position from 1.5685 (around 200 pts profit). Obviously this was premature as GBP declined sharply and is now on the way to its 1.5260 target. The downtrend is very strong and actually that makes it difficult to re-enter on the short side. Why? Because you always need to make sure that you enter with an appropriate stop level, i.e. you need a low-risk entry point. Under the current conditions such low-risk entry point will occur (in my opinion) if GBP recovers quickly twd 1.5500/10 level. Such a rally seems quite unlikely now, but if it occurs, it may provide a good selling opportunity.
Strategy: The hypothetical short position from 1.5685 was covered with 200 pts profit. Shorts favored again at 1.5510 against 1.5560.