- This week, the scorecard recommends buying AUD, NZD and USD while selling NOK, SEK and GBP.
Australian interest rates continue to underperform (declining rates) on the G10. However, last week's sell-off seems overdone according to the model, and the scorecard recommends buying AUD this week as all other input factors currently favour a long AUD position. This week's long basket also includes NZD and USD. While all input factors currently favour a long NZD position, the input factor of positioning currently favours a short USD position. However, last week's USD sell-off seems overdone and the scorecard recommends buying USD this week.
USD/NOK corrected lower last week from the highest levels seen since 2010. The scorecard recommends selling NOK this week as last week's NOK rally seems overdone. Notably, the input factors from interest rates and risk premium favour a short SEK position. The scorecard also recommends selling SEK this week.
Last week's signals resulted in a 0.5% gain. In particular, the long JPY position performed well while the short EUR and GBP positions were expensive.
Next scorecard signals will be sent out on July 22.
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