For the fourth time, we present our year-end FX Top Trades for the coming year. In the years 2010-2012, our FX top trades delivered an average return of 3.1%, with a hit ratio of 80% each year. As in previous years, this year's trade ideas are based on a number of global themes that we believe will dominate the FX market in 2013.
Six themes: i) Recovery, but low growth, ii) Aggressive monetary easing, iii) Low volatility environment to continue, iv) Fewer tail risks, v) Value in EMEA, vi) Macroprudential policy
10 Trades:
No. 1: Bearish JPY/SEK strategy
No. 2: Long EUR/USD via options
No. 3: Short USD/CHF via 12M fwd
No. 4: Long RUB/CZK
No. 5: Selected carry basket
No. 6: Short USD/CAD
No. 7: Long EUR/CHF
No. 8: Long USD/JPY via options
No. 9: Short GBP/NOK
No. 10: Short USD/SGD
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