FX Futures Edge — Monday: October 24, 2011

Published 10/24/2011, 06:58 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

The US dollar is under pressure this morning, although this pressure isn’t material unless one considers it is the Aussie Dollar…which is being driving by better-than expected Chinese PMI data. Outside of this, the “risk-on” trade is on, but more so in the other capital markets rather than in the forex markets. We see very little actionable at this very juncture; we were stopped out last week on our long USD/JPY position, but remain short GBP/CAD…which is working well for us this morning.

Moving on, remain very interested in the current correction of the US dollar back towards its 200-day moving average at 76.54 and the Euro rising to meet its 200-day moving average at 1.4094. Each has implications for our next position trade as we want to be long USD and short other currencies – namely the EUR…and we want to be short EUR on the cross rates as well. For now, there is no propensity to trade in either unless it is for a day trade or two and this is not. What this letter is about – it’s about the next large position trade that we can work for week upon months.

Please see the attached pdf file for the full report.

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