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The European debt contagion has been “kicked down the road” as Spanish and Italian short-and-long term bond yields have moderated recently given the ECB “plan” to buy bonds of up to three-years in maturity...but only if asked; and only if conditionality is imposed upon those asking. The Fed has also changed its game from “inflation-fighting” to “unemployment fighting”; and with any war -- they will go further and farther than anyone believes in printing money to achieve their ends. This will support all asset prices ultimately.
STRATEGY
The S&P 500 remains above the 160-wma long-term support level at 1233. The much followed 200-dma support level stands at 1365, and remains the bulls “Maginot Line.” We’ve noted this is perhaps one of the “weirdest rallies” we’ve ever been witness to, and it causes us a great deal of consternation. But the new Fed policydirectly targets stocks; expect a near S&P all-time high test at 1515-to-1530.
Defense stocks took a tumble heading into 2025 as President Trump returned to the White House for his second term. Trump has stated his intent as a peacemaker to bring the wars in...
Using the Elliott Wave Principle (EWP), we have been tracking the most likely path forward for the Nasdaq 100 (NDX). Although there are many ways to navigate the markets and to...
Investors are on edge about what tariff policy means for markets Coming off a strong Q4 earnings season, fresh February corporate sales figures can help assess the macro...
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