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FTSE Looks For A Leg-Up : Segro, Aveva, JD Sports

Published 09/27/2019, 02:21 AM
USD/JPY
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UK100
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SGRO
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AVV
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JD
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UK 100 CFD Daily Chart

The FTSE 100 has lagged its U.S. and European counterparts this year, but that doesn’t mean it doesn’t try to play catch-up. We noted that U.S. indices have respected key support levels along with USD/JPY, which paints a glimmer of hope we could be headed for a bout of risk-on. If so, it could provide the FTSE100 with a much-needed tailwind and help it break to a new cycle high.

We can see on the daily chart that yesterday’s bullish candle closed just off the highs of a 3-week range. Moreover, Wednesday’s low reaffirmed support around 7,200 before heading higher and is part of a 3-bar bullish reversal pattern at support (the morning star reversal). From here’s we’re looking for a break above 7,392.50 to confirm a breakout, although we’re also mindful that interim resistance awaits around 7,461.30 so this should be taken into account for from a reward/risk perspective.

FTSE 100 - Top 20 YTD Performers

With that said, there’ll still be some stocks within the index which may sustain a better breakout, so we’ve listed the top 20 performers YTD (year to date) and selected three FTSE stocks worth following.

JD Sports Fashion Daily Chart

JD Sports (LON:JD) sits just off record highs following yesterday’s range expansion day. That the pullback failed to even test the 38.2% retracement is a testament to the trend’s strength, and momentum has only increased since breaking out of its basing pattern on Sept. 10. The retracement took form of a small bullish flag which is a continuation pattern in an uptrend. Furthermore, as daily volumes remain above average and OBV is at fresh highs ahead of price are encouraging signs for a bullish breakout.

  • Bulls could take a break above 730 as a sign the trend is set to resume
  • Bias remains bullish whilst prices hold above the 653.2 breakout level, which could allows traders to buy dips above support if prices fail to break/hold higher
  • AVEVA Group Daily Chart

    AVEVA Group (LON:AVV) is currently trading within a bearish channel, although there are signs that it could be building up for a break higher to resume its longer-term bullish trend. The September low found support at the April high around 3460, which is near the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and above the 200-day eMA.

    Yesterday’s 2-bar reversal marks a potential higher low, so a base could now be forming ahead of a bullish breakout. Volume was also above average yesterday which is an encouraging sign for a break higher.

  • Bulls could use a break above 3,800 to signal a bullish breakout from the corrective channel. However, we’d prefer to see any breakout be accompanied on higher than average volume and / or OBV breaking a cycle high.
  • Bears could seek short setups if the channel caps as resistance on lower timeframes. The 3460 lows become the next target, although a break beneath here and the 200-day eMA suggests we’re in for a deeper correction on the daily timeframe.
  • Segro PLC Daily Chart

    Segro (LON:SGRO) trades in a clearly defined uptrend and the moving average are within bullish sequence and all pointing higher, to show momentum across multiple timeframes is bullish. Yesterday the stock broke and closed to a new cycle high above 800. Moreover, OBV (on balance volume) broke higher ahead of the breakout to show bullish demand was picking up.

  • The trend remains bullish above 759.8, so bulls could seek to buy dips above this structural level and keep an open, bullish target
  • Intraday traders could see of 800 holds as support to consider long positions
  • The bullish bias is invalidated with a break beneath the 759.8 low.
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