Friday Charts: A Nasty Game Of Chicken, Wall Street Style

Published 07/19/2013, 07:10 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM

Every Friday, I undergo a transformation: I switch from being the boring professor – who specializes in droning, long-winded lectures – to the nutty professor, who blows crap up.

That might be a bit of an exaggeration.

But instead of boring you with words, I mix it up and enlighten you with a few striking charts.

Without further ado…

Who’ll Flinch First?
Based on the latest National Association of Homebuilders (NAHB) sentiment index, homebuilders are more cheerful than they have been in a long, long time.

The latest reading jumped from 51 to 57 – the highest in seven and a half years.

The move caps off a two-month, 13-point rise, too, which hasn’t happened since “I’m Too Sexy” by Right Said Fred topped the music charts. (That was in February 1992, in case you stink at pop culture trivia.)

So are investors just as enthusiastic about homebuilding stocks? Er… not so much.

Ever since mortgage rates spiked, they’ve run for the exits, setting up one of the biggest divergences in recent history.
Housing
Homebuilders’ sentiment and homebuilding stocks traditionally move in lockstep with one another. But that’s not happening right now, setting the stage for the biggest game of “Chicken” on Wall Street.

As Bespoke Investment Group notes, “Going forward, it will be interesting to see if this recent divergence corrects itself – either by housing stocks picking back up again, or homebuilder sentiment pulling back.”

My money is on housing stocks reversing course. Anyone care to wager with me on that?

Yes, Mobile is Kind of a Big Deal

Occasionally, I get ridiculed for my over-the-top enthusiasm regarding all things mobile and the runaway growth in the sector.

But it’s warranted. And here’s the proof…
Mobile
In the last decade, the number of mobile phone subscriptions has surged from 662 million to 6.4 billion, according to the International Telecommunications Union.

That translates into a 91% global penetration rate, making mobile phones one of the most ubiquitous technologies in the world. Only steel blades, cotton t-shirts, aluminum pots and plastic bottles are more prevalent (if they actually count as innovations).

Even more staggering is the uptick in mobile internet usage. The number of users recently topped two billion.
Internet
So forget Ron Burgundy… mobile is kind of a big deal. Invest accordingly. Or miss out.

Original post

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.