U.S. small-cap stocks may likely be winners on Trump’s proposed tax cut reforms and economic buoyancy. But uncertainty will linger until Trump’s planned policies see the day of light and inflation gains traction. With the Fed remaining on the policy tightening path amid subdued inflation, market momentum can be derailed any time.
On the other hand, things are rosier in international economies. International investing has been buoyant since the beginning of this year on the improving health of several economies. Policy easing has played a major role in driving global economic growth.
Most developed economies, which were facing deflationary threats for long, are slowly returning to the inflationary track. Along with developed economies like the Euro zone and Japan, emerging markets, as a whole, are better placed now.
Though talks of a QE wrap-up or tight monetary policy were rife, the ECB announced in late October that it would extend its asset purchase program through September 2018 at a reduced rate. Economists believe that Draghi’s tone is still accommodative (read: ECB's Dovish Taper Boosts These ETFs).
Goldman analyst Charles Himmelberg expects the global economy to expand 4% in 2018 on a real gross-domestic-product basis. Global GDP growth will likely be 3.8% as per Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) (read: Follow Goldman With These ETFs for 2018).
Why Small-Caps Better-Positioned to Play the Recovery
Small caps are considered the measure of domestic well-being. In a growing economy, these pint-sized securities perform the best as these generate most of their revenues from the domestic market. These are less ruffled by global economic turmoil.
A wave of cheap money in international markets will lead to stepped-up economic activities, and raise business and consumer confidence. This in turn will benefit small-cap companies.
Probably, thanks to this diverging economic background, international small-cap ETFs hit a 52-week high lately.
Schwab International Small-Cap Equity ETF SCHC
The fund holds about 1839 stocks. Japan (19.67%), Canada (16.19%) and United Kingdom (15.61%) are the top three geographical regions covered by the fund.
iShares Edge MSCI Multi-Factor International SmallCap ETF ISCF
The fund gives high exposure to four investment style factors: value, quality, momentum and low size. The fund charges 40 bps in fees and yields about 2.06% annually. No stock accounts for more than 1.00% of the portfolio. Japan (34.4%) and U.K. (20.1%) are the top two economies of the fund.
SPDR S&P International Small Cap (NYSE:GWX) ETF GWX
The fund holds more than 2300 stocks in its portfolio. No stock accounts for more than 0.41% of the fund. The product is heavy on Japan (37.5%) and South Korea (10.9%). It charges 89 bps in fees.
Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US SmallCap ETF VSS
The fund holds about 3569 stocks. Japan, Canada and the U.K. have a double-digit weight in the fund. It is also a low-cost option charging only 13 bps in annual fees.
iShares MSCI EAFE Small-Cap ETF (V:SCZ)
This ETF targets the small-cap segment of the developed market space. Holding about 1,612 stocks in its basket, SCZ is highly represented by Japan (30.6%) and the U.K. (17.7%) with Germany taking a distant third position (6.9%). The fund eliminates company-specific concentration. Expense ratio comes in at 0.40% (read: Forget Hedge Funds: Buy These ETFs Generating Sizable Alpha).
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ISHARS-MSCI SC (SCZ): ETF Research Reports
VANGD-FA -US SC (VSS): ETF Research Reports
ISHARS-FS INT S (ISCF): ETF Research Reports
SPDR-SP INTL SC (GWX): ETF Research Reports
SCHWAB-INT SC (SCHC): ETF Research Reports
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