Weekly Large Trader COT Report: Currencies
A quick update on the latest weekly Commitment of Traders (COT) report, released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) on Monday due to the Thanksgiving holiday schedule shows that traders increased their bearish bets in the euro currency for a fifth straight week.
Non-commercial large futures traders, including hedge funds and large speculators, increased their bets last week in favor of the Japanese yen, Australian dollar and the Mexican peso while decreasing weekly bets for the euro, British pound sterling, Swiss franc, Canadian dollar and the New Zealand dollar, according to CFTC data.
In addition to the five week slide in the euro, speculators continued to decrease positions in some of the major currencies for multiple weeks. Bets for the British pound sterling are lower for a fifth straight week, the Swiss franc positions are down for a fourth straight week while the New Zealand dollar bets are lower for a third week and Canadian dollar positions have fallen for the past two weeks.
This latest COT data is through Tuesday November 24th and shows a quick view of how large speculators or non-commercials (for-profit traders) as well as the commercial traders (hedgers and traders for business purposes) were positioned in the futures markets. All currency positions are in direct relation to the US dollar where, for example, a bet for the euro is a bet that the euro will rise versus the dollar while a bet against the euro will be a bet that the dollar will gain versus the euro.
Please see the individual currency charts and their respective data points below. (Click on Charts to Enlarge)
Weekly Charts: Large Trader Weekly Positions vs Price
EuroFX:
Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions
| Date | Open Interest | Change OI | Net Commercial Positions | Weekly Com Changes | Net Large Specs Positions | Weekly Spec Changes |
| 20151020 | 357133 | 7413 | 79329 | -17686 | -62566 | 18010 |
| 20151027 | 380564 | 23431 | 134450 | 55121 | -105934 | -43368 |
| 20151103 | 405462 | 24898 | 168944 | 34494 | -134334 | -28400 |
| 20151110 | 421967 | 16505 | 184555 | 15611 | -142939 | -8605 |
| 20151117 | 436801 | 14834 | 204152 | 19597 | -164177 | -21238 |
| 20151124 | 444626 | 7825 | 215922 | 11770 | -175484 | -11307 |
British Pound Sterling:
Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions
| Date | Open Interest | Change OI | Net Commercial Positions | Weekly Com Changes | Net Large Specs Positions | Weekly Spec Changes |
| 20151020 | 158043 | 5879 | -345 | -22864 | 7537 | 15064 |
| 20151027 | 153453 | -4590 | 7695 | 8040 | 4134 | -3403 |
| 20151103 | 151194 | -2259 | 7730 | 35 | 188 | -3946 |
| 20151110 | 172346 | 21152 | 36901 | 29171 | -15770 | -15958 |
| 20151117 | 175254 | 2908 | 45232 | 8331 | -25260 | -9490 |
| 20151124 | 172390 | -2864 | 51379 | 6147 | -32256 | -6996 |
Japanese Yen:
Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions
| Date | Open Interest | Change OI | Net Commercial Positions | Weekly Com Changes | Net Large Specs Positions | Weekly Spec Changes |
| 20151020 | 184281 | 14408 | 13067 | -8689 | -3639 | 10193 |
| 20151027 | 189472 | 5191 | 55204 | 42137 | -33911 | -30272 |
| 20151103 | 204271 | 14799 | 65127 | 9923 | -43787 | -9876 |
| 20151110 | 234202 | 29931 | 97686 | 32559 | -66888 | -23101 |
| 20151117 | 250346 | 16144 | 111224 | 13538 | -78611 | -11723 |
| 20151124 | 247513 | -2833 | 107933 | -3291 | -77336 | 1275 |
Swiss Franc:
Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions
| Date | Open Interest | Change OI | Net Commercial Positions | Weekly Com Changes | Net Large Specs Positions | Weekly Spec Changes |
| 20151020 | 35628 | 694 | 6735 | -5216 | 625 | 2977 |
| 20151027 | 38453 | 2825 | 12412 | 5677 | 1499 | 874 |
| 20151103 | 51953 | 13500 | 22448 | 10036 | -7035 | -8534 |
| 20151110 | 60031 | 8078 | 27883 | 5435 | -9310 | -2275 |
| 20151117 | 67119 | 7088 | 35012 | 7129 | -15329 | -6019 |
| 20151124 | 72945 | 5826 | 42705 | 7693 | -22209 | -6880 |
Canadian Dollar:
Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions
| Date | Open Interest | Change OI | Net Commercial Positions | Weekly Com Changes | Net Large Specs Positions | Weekly Spec Changes |
| 20151020 | 121148 | 4348 | 34550 | -10172 | -27112 | 6837 |
| 20151027 | 122885 | 1737 | 31969 | -2581 | -18895 | 8217 |
| 20151103 | 119629 | -3256 | 32644 | 675 | -19491 | -596 |
| 20151110 | 134360 | 14731 | 35602 | 2958 | -17907 | 1584 |
| 20151117 | 141785 | 7425 | 49967 | 14365 | -28352 | -10445 |
| 20151124 | 143742 | 1957 | 57148 | 7181 | -38617 | -10265 |
Australian Dollar:
Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions
| Date | Open Interest | Change OI | Net Commercial Positions | Weekly Com Changes | Net Large Specs Positions | Weekly Spec Changes |
| 20151020 | 140367 | -1657 | 50636 | 2909 | -38412 | -4707 |
| 20151027 | 141008 | 641 | 49145 | -1491 | -36352 | 2060 |
| 20151103 | 145861 | 4853 | 59495 | 10350 | -38625 | -2273 |
| 20151110 | 153590 | 7729 | 80186 | 20691 | -52830 | -14205 |
| 20151117 | 162083 | 8493 | 88864 | 8678 | -66464 | -13634 |
| 20151124 | 152585 | -9498 | 75027 | -13837 | -57145 | 9319 |
New Zealand Dollar:
Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions
| Date | Open Interest | Change OI | Net Commercial Positions | Weekly Com Changes | Net Large Specs Positions | Weekly Spec Changes |
| 20151020 | 30142 | 1104 | -1418 | -4254 | 3759 | 3067 |
| 20151027 | 31743 | 1601 | -3029 | -1611 | 5589 | 1830 |
| 20151103 | 32539 | 796 | -4066 | -1037 | 6618 | 1029 |
| 20151110 | 33719 | 1180 | -2215 | 1851 | 5564 | -1054 |
| 20151117 | 34899 | 1180 | -901 | 1314 | 5248 | -316 |
| 20151124 | 35099 | 200 | -448 | 453 | 4010 | -1238 |
Mexican Peso:
Last 6 Weeks of Large Trader Positions
| Date | Open Interest | Change OI | Net Commercial Positions | Weekly Com Changes | Net Large Specs Positions | Weekly Spec Changes |
| 20151020 | 119955 | 3537 | 3125 | -4189 | -616 | 3527 |
| 20151027 | 136629 | 16674 | 2242 | -883 | -83 | 533 |
| 20151103 | 148844 | 12215 | 2024 | -218 | -735 | -652 |
| 20151110 | 158543 | 9699 | 21754 | 19730 | -18835 | -18100 |
| 20151117 | 181499 | 22956 | 41855 | 20101 | -38263 | -19428 |
| 20151124 | 189063 | 7564 | 30182 | -11673 | -29261 | 9002 |
*COT Report: The weekly commitment of traders report summarizes the total trader positions for open contracts in the futures trading markets. The CFTC categorizes trader positions according to commercial hedgers (traders who use futures contracts for hedging as part of the business), non-commercials (large traders who speculate to realize trading profits) and nonreportable traders (usually small traders/speculators). Find CFTC criteria here: (http://www.cftc.gov/MarketReports/CommitmentsofTraders/ExplanatoryNotes/index.htm).
The Commitment of Traders report is published every Friday by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and shows futures positions data that was reported as of the previous Tuesday (3 days behind).
Each currency contract is a quote for that currency directly against the U.S. dollar, a net short amount of contracts means that more speculators are betting that currency to fall against the dollar and a net long position expect that currency to rise versus the dollar.
(The charts overlay the forex closing price of each Tuesday when COT trader positions are reported for each corresponding spot currency pair.) See more information and explanation on the weekly COT report from the CFTC website.
All information contained in this article cannot be guaranteed to be accurate and is used at your own risk. All information and opinions on this website are for general informational purposes only and do not in any way constitute investment advice.
Risk Disclosure: Foreign Currency trading and trading on margin carries a high level of risk and can result in loss of part or all of your investment. Due to the level of risk and market volatility, Foreign Currency trading may not be suitable for all investors and you should not invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before deciding to invest in the foreign currency exchange market you should carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite. You should be aware of all the risks associated with foreign currency exchange trading, and seek advice from an independent financial advisor should you have any doubts. All information and opinions on this website are for general informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice.