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European Market Update: Loan Relief Discussions On EU Fin Mins' Agenda

Published 03/04/2013, 06:46 AM
Updated 01/01/2017, 02:20 AM
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Tuesday's UK services PMI data key for sterling as manufacturing and construction PMI data show contraction

Notes/Observations

(CN) New tightening measures for the property markets in China send Shanghai Property Index lower by over 9%

(IT) Italian bonds and equities underperform, as government formation process continues to weigh.

(ES) IBEX-35 outperforms, as Spain's Feb unemployment data beats market expectations.

(EU) EUR/USD continues to trade near 1.30, GBP/USD near 1.50 ahead of Thursday's BoE and ECB meetings.

(UK) UK Feb PMI construction data hits lowest level since Oct 2009, amid concerns about a ""triple-dip" recession.

(AU) AUD/USD hits 8-month low in Asia, amid underperformance in commodity currencies.

(EU) There are some expectations that today's EU finance minsters' meeting could cover topics including loan relief for Ireland and Portugal, Cyprus, Italy's political situation and ESM aid for banks.

(UK) HSBC fall over 2.5% after reporting FY12 results, records $5.2B of adverse fair value movements on own debt.

Indices

Indices: FTSE 100 -0.50% at 6,348, DAX -0.60% at 7,666, CAC-40 -0.20% at 3,693, IBEX-35 +0.10% at 8,195, FTSE MIB -1.4% at 15,455, SMI -0.30% at 7,581, S&P 500 Futures -0.30% at 1,512

Equity markets are broadly lower, as the negative sentiment in China has weighed. Additionally, Italy's FTSE MIB has underperformed amid ongoing concerns about the government formation process in the country. European banks are broadly lower, led by weakness in the Italian banking sector. HSBC has declined by over 3% following its FY earnings report. Resource-related firms are mostly lower, tracking the declines in oil prices. Looking ahead, markets are expected to focus on the later today euro zone finance ministers meeting. Also, on Thursday's session the ECB and Bank of England are due to hold their monetary policy meetings. US monthly payrolls data is due on Friday

UK movers [Centrica +1.5% (broker commentary); Anglo American -3% (broker commentary), HSBC -2% (FY ROE below target)]

Germany movers [QSC +2% (raised dividend)]; K+S -1.5% (broker commentary)]

France movers [France Telecom +3.5% (broker commentary) EADS +1% (to be added to the Euro Stoxx 50)]

Spain movers [Repsol +2% (sale of Treasury stock), Telefonica +0.90% (broker commentary)]

Switzerland movers [Transocean +2% (Q4 profits above ests, resumed dividend); Kuehn & Nagel -4.5% (Q4 profits declined y/y)]

Currencies

EUR/USD: The pair saw a tight range of 20 pips on either side of the psychological important 1.3000 level

GBP/USD dropped from 1.5050 to 1.5000 after weaker than expected Construction PMI was released by the UK. The pair rallied back to the 1.5025 level

USD/JPY: The Yen weakened into the Asian equities markets close as new property market regulations led the China stock market low. USD/JPY traded from 93.30 to 93.65 basing around 93.55/93.60 after Asia closed.

Fixed Income

(NL) NETHERLANDS DEBT AGENCY (DSTA) SELLS €3.05B V €2.0-4.0B INIDICATED IN 3-MONTH AND 6-MONTH BILLS

Economic Data

(ES) SPAIN FEB NET UNEMPLOYMENT M/M: +59.4K V +75.0KE

(EU) EURO ZONE MAR SENTIX INVESTOR CONFIDENCE: -10.6 V -4.5E

(UK) FEB PMI CONSTRUCTION: 46.8 V 49.0E (lowest level since Oct 2009)

(EU) EURO ZONE JAN PPI M/M: 0.6% V +0.5%E; Y/Y: 1.9% V 1.9%E

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