Euro Under Pressure While Risk Markets Recovered

Published 11/17/2015, 04:08 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM

US equities rebounded strongly overnight with DJIA rose 237.77 pts, or 1.38% to close at 17483.01, as risk aversion subsided. But Euro was seen under some renewed selling pressure. ECB vice president Vitor Constancio warned that while there markets were taking the terror attacks in Paris "calmly" the forthcoming events "will impact confidence and possible risk aversion". ECB executive board member Peter Praet also said that the attacks might pose a risks to the already sluggish economic recovery in the region. Nonetheless, Praet talked down the impact and said they would usually have "transitory effect" and thus, "not a priori a reason" to change the outlook. Meanwhile, he also emphasized the importance to keep inflation expectations anchored and "a possible de-anchoring of inflation expectations together with a lot of slack is a dangerous cocktail." And thus, the central bank is considering further actions.

Data from Japan yesterday showed that the country slipped back into recession in Q2 and Q3. But ruling lawmaker Kozo Yamamko, one of the architects of prime minister Shinzo Abe's economic policies, expected no policy changes by BoJ. He noted that Fed's expected rate hike would "accelerate yen declines" and hurt household by pushing up import prices. And BoJ would "stand pat for the rest of the year" to wait and see the impact of Fed's move. ECB will hold a two-day meeting on Wednesday and Thursday and is widely expected to keep policies unchanged.

Elsewhere, inflation data will be a major focus today. UK CPI is expected to rise to 0.0% yoy in October, up from prior month's -0.1% yoy. Core CPI is expected to be unchanged at 1.0% yoy. RPI and PPI will also be featured. Also to be released in European session, German ZEW economic sentiment is expected to recover to 5.5 in November while Eurozone ZEW economic sentiment is expected to rise to 35.2.

US will also release CPI today. Headline CPI is expected to rise to 0.1% yoy in October, up from prior month's 0.0%. Core CPI is expected to be unchanged at 1.9% yoy. US will also release industrial production and NAHB housing market index.

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