Short Term EUR/JPY Elliott Wave view suggests the rally from 4/16 low is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Up from 4/16 (114.8) low, Intermediate wave (W) ended at 125.81 and Intermediate wave (X) ended at 122.53. A break above 125.81 however is still needed to add conviction that the next leg higher has started.
From 122.53 low, the rally is also unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Minute wave ((w)) ended at 125.8 and Minute wave ((x)) ended at 123.11. Near term, cycle from 5/30 low (123.11) is mature and expected to end soon. This cycle from 5/30 low is unfolding as a Flat Elliott Wave structure and expected to end with Minutte wave (w) at 125.5 – 125.7 area. Once Minutte wave (w) is over, expect pair to pullback in Minutte wave (x).
The pullback should unfold in 3, 7, or 11 swing and while the pullback stays above 123.11, pair should extend higher. If pair breaks below 123.11, then pair is likely doing a double correction from 5/16 peak. This suggests pair can open extension lower to 121.6 – 122.25 area in case of a double correction. From this area, buyers should appear again for an extension higher or at least a 3 waves bounce. We do not like selling the proposed move to the downside and expect dips to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing.
EUR/JPY Elliott Wave 1 Hour Chart
