EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Published 11/04/2011, 06:40 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM
EUR/JPY
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Daily Pivots: (S1) 106.95; (P) 107.50; (R1) 108.44;

With 4 hours MACD crossed above signal line, intraday bias in EUR/JPY is turned neural and some sideway trading would be seen above 106.49 temporary low. On the upside, above 109.25 minor resistance will suggest that pull back from 111.57 is finished and will flip bias back to the upside for 111.93 cluster resistance (50% retracement of 123.31 to 100.74 112.02). On the downside, below 106.49 will bring another fall to 104.74 support. Break will indicate that whole rebound from 100.74 is finished and turn outlook bearish for retesting this low.

In the bigger picture, the strong rebound from 100.74 now argues that fall from 123.31 is finished already. But there is still no clear indication of completion of down trend from 2008 high of 169.96. Current rebound should face strong resistance even if it manages to extend towards 123.31 key resistance. And at this point, we'd continue to favor an eventual break of 100 psychological level. Though, we'll adjust our view after confirming the eventual structure of the rebound from 100.74.

Please see the attached chart below.

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