Ethereum Price Analysis: Is A Breakdown Looming For ETH/USD?

Published 06/06/2019, 01:25 AM
Updated 07/14/2021, 10:35 AM

The Ethereum (ETH) price reached a high of $289.42 on May 30. A rapid decrease was followed by an increase. A high near $272 was reached on Jun 2. The price has been decreasing since.

Ethereum US Dollar 120

Lows below $240 were reached on Jun 5.

Where will the price head to next? Let’s find out.

Ethereum Price (ETH): Trends and Highlights for June 5

  • The Ethereum price reached a high of $289 on May 30.
  • It is trading inside a descending wedge.
  • In the long-term, it has made a double top.
  • There is bearish divergence developing in the RSI.
  • The price is trading below the 10- and 20-day moving averages.
  • There is support near $230.

ETH Price: Descending Wedge

The price of Ethereum is analyzed at two-hour intervals from May 26 to June 5 in order to analyze its current pattern.

On May 26, ETH/USD reached a low of $245.55. A gradual upward move ensued, which took it to a high of $289.42 on May 30. A rapid decrease ensued.

Since then, the price has been creating lower highs and lows. Tracing them gives us a descending wedge:

Ethereum US Dollar 120

At the time of writing, the ETH price is trading in the middle of the wedge.

Will it break out or are more decreases in store? In order to answer that, a look at technical indicators in a long-term time-frame is required.

Ethereum Price: Bearish Divergence

The Ethereum price is analyzed alongside the RSI below:

Ethereum US Dollar 1 Day

The ETH price reached higher highs on May 16 and 30. The candlesticks were characterized with long upper wicks. This indicates that there is selling pressure in the market.

During this period, the RSI generated lower highs. This is known as bearish divergence and often precedes price decreases. In the case of ETH, it preceded the downward move beginning from the May 30 high of $289.42.

Moving Averages

The Ethereum (ETH) price is analyzed at daily intervals alongside the 10-day and 20-day moving averages (MA).

Ethereum US Dollar 1 Day

On Jun 3, the Ethereum price (ETH) began a rapid downward move. It created a bearish engulfing candle which dropped it below both MAs.

Furthermore, they are very close to making a bearish cross.

This combined with the bearish divergence in the previous section makes it likely that the price will continue to decrease. A breakout from the wedge is unlikely.

Reversal Areas

One support area is traced for ETH/USD below:

Ethereum US Dollar 120

The closest support area is found near $230. If the ETH price decreases at the rate predicted by the wedge, it should reach this area on Jun 8-10. A breakdown below this area could trigger a rapid decrease and complete the double top pattern. The analysis of technical indicators supports this scenario.

Summary

To conclude, the Ethereum price (ETH) has recently experienced significant decreases. Furthermore, the technical indicators paint a bearish picture. However, a breakdown from the current pattern has yet to occur. According to the technical indicators, it is likely that it will do so in the future.

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