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Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH/USD Trading Inside A Descending Wedge?

Published 06/11/2019, 06:35 AM
Updated 07/14/2021, 10:35 AM
ETH/USD
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ETH/USD
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On June 4, the Ethereum price (ETH) reached a low of $235.22. Similar levels were reached on June 5 and 6. However, a rapid decrease began on June 9 and the next day the price reached lows of $226.01.Ethereum Outlook

Ethereum has been increasing since.

Below, we are going to analyze the Ethereum price (ETH) in different time-frames and alongside technical indicators, in order to try and predict future movement. You can read our previous analysis here.

Ethereum Price (ETH): Trends and Highlights for June 10

  • ETH reached a low of $226.01 on June 10.
  • It is trading inside a descending wedge.
  • There is a short-term bullish divergence developing in the RSI.
  • The 10- and 20-day moving averages have made a bearish cross.
  • Long-term bearish divergence has developed in the RSI.
  • There is resistance near $250.

Descending Wedge

The Ethereum price (ETH) is analyzed at one-hour intervals from June 5 to June 10 in order to analyze its current pattern.

On June 5, ETH/USD reached a low of $238.05 A gradual upward move ensued and ETH’s price reached a high of $253.93 on June 7. Since then, it has been decreasing, creating the descending wedge outlined below:

Ethereum-US Dollar Descending Channel

At the time of writing, the Ethereum price (ETH) was trading close to the resistance line of the channel, after bouncing from support in the early hours of June 10.

Will the ETH price break out or are there more decreases in store?

A look at technical indicators is required in order to answer that question.

Ethereum Price (ETH): RSI and Moving Averages

The price of ETH is analyzed at six-hour intervals alongside the RSI below:

Bullish Divergence

On June 4, the price reached a high of $238.05. It made a lower low of $253.93 on June 7. During this time, instead of generating lower lows, the RSI reached the same level twice. This is known as bullish divergence and often precedes price increases.

Furthermore, the descending wedge is a bullish pattern, making price breakouts more likely.

However, a look at a longer time-frame gives a different outlook:

Therefore, we have outlined the Ethereum price (ETH) at daily intervals alongside the RSI and the 10- and 20-day moving averages (MA) below:

Bearish Divergence

During the highs of May 16 and 30, the RSI generated lower highs. A decrease followed shortly after. A bearish cross between the 10- and 20- day MAs also occurred on June 7. This is often an indication that a downtrend has begun.

The use of these indicators makes it likely that the Ethereum price (ETH) will break out of the wedge. However, ETH is potentially beginning a longer downtrend. Therefore, any increases are likely to be in the short-term only.

If a breakout occurs, where will the price find resistance?

Reversal Areas

One resistance area is traced for ETH/USD below:

Ethereum - US Dollar Reversal

The closest resistance area is found near $250. If the Ethereum price (ETH) breaks out from the wedge, it is likely to reach this area.

Summary

To conclude, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has recently experienced significant decreases. It is currently trading in a short-term descending wedge. The technical indicators give a positive outlook in the short term but a negative in the long-term.

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