ES Red Flat-Topped Megaphone vs Blue Megaphone
First, ES has nothing that even resembles a legal top on the daily chart yet.
Second, ES is trapped in a welter of megaphones inside megaphones within its trading range since the March 1 high. No way it escapes this mess easily.
ES has a kinda sorta flat-topped megaphone on the chart (red) and has put in a false breakout through its top at roughly the March 1 high. That would usually mean a trip down to take out the formation low (green scenario) before a breakout through the top to morph the whole mess into the blue megaphone.
Or ES could still be working on getting straight to the area of the blue megaphone top (purple scenario).
There’s a small rising megaphone on the chart out of the April 17 low that didn’t top properly with a head and shoulders inside the formation. That would usually mean we see another stab through 2400 even if the flat-topped megaphone is in play (orange scenario).
The proper attitude toward any move within the recent trading range right now is high skepticism. The only exception would be if a price channel meltdown sets up. No sign of that yet.