The successful Ukrainian counter-offensive in the east appears to have triggered an act of desperation by the Kremlin with this morning’s announcement by Vladimir Putin confirming what had been rumored on Tuesday. “Referendums” will now take place in various Russian-controlled territories and a partial mobilization of troops will strengthen the country’s numbers after recent setbacks.
The decision has caused a stir in energy markets, with oil trading around 2% higher on the day, while European gas prices initially surged more than 6%. The move risks further escalating the crisis in Ukraine as Putin continues to threaten the use of nuclear warfare and cite the role of NATO during his increasingly aggressive rants.
Can Gold Recapture $1,680?
Gold is making small gains in the run up to the Fed decision but continues to see strong resistance around $1,680. This could prove to be a substantial barrier to the upside unless the Fed delivers a shock dovish surprise. It had been a key level of support over the last couple of years before finally breaking last week.
The fate of the yellow metal ultimately lies with the policymakers at the Fed and depends on just how hawkish they’re going to be. It’s about more than just the rate decision today, the new projections that accompany it will be critically important as traders learn how aggressive the Fed intends to be in the months ahead.