The Emini broke above its 3 day tight trading range yesterday. Yesterday was a Small Pullback Bull Trend. That is a type of buy climax. That increases the chance of some trading range price action today. But, with the bulls trying to get the year to close on the high, there is not much downside risk through the end of December. Also, there is no sign of a top. Traders expect more sideways to up trading.
Overnight Emini Globex Trading
The Emini is up 1 point in the Globex session. Since yesterday was a strong bull trend, the bulls will begin to take some profits at some point today. That increases the chance of more sideways trading today.However, the bull trend has been strong for 3 months. The bulls have been in control and they would like to continue that control through yearend. Therefore, the odds are that any surprise will be up rather than down.There is always a chance of a panic profit-taking from a crowded trade. If everyone believes that the Emini will go up, but it stalls, some bulls might take some profits before the end of the year. If enough do, it could trigger panic selling. This could lead to 2 – 3 bear trend days. However, it is more likely that the Emini will continue sideways to up for the remaining 8 trading days of the decade.
Yesterday’s Setups
Here are several reasonable stop entry setups from yesterday. I show each buy entry with a green rectangle and each sell entry with a red rectangle. I rarely also show limit order entries and entries on the close of bars. Buyers of the Brooks Trading Course and Encyclopedia of Chart Patterns have access to a much more detailed explanation of the swing trades for each day.
My goal with these charts is to present an Always In perspective. If a trader was trying to be Always In or nearly Always In a position all day, and he was not currently in the market, these entries would be logical times for him to enter.