We believe the Riksbank will cut rates by 25bp in December. The Riksbank's three weeks' old inflation forecast was 0.4pp off the mark, and we find nothing that implies a return to its path when November numbers are published a couple of days before the monetary policy meeting.
This week business (BCI) and consumer (CCI) confidence surveys from the National Institute for Economic Research (NIER) are in focus in Sweden. We expect some moderation, since the PMI normally leads the BCI. Statistics Sweden will also publish the investment survey that will provide the last piece of data before the Q3 GDP data that will be released on 29 November.
Last week we presented in Strategy Sweden: Rate cut in December and low for long not fully priced yet a number of strategies that will benefit from an upcoming rate cut from the Riksbank. We also keep our outright negative short-term view on the SEK and we have a 1M forecast of 9.00 for EUR/SEK.
We also reiterate our positive view on NOK/SEK given the monetary policy outlook between Norway and Sweden.
We now see value in short EUR/NOK on a medium horizon and present a number of risk reversal strategies utilizing the attractive option market skew in EUR/NOK.
In Denmark we see value in Danish linkers.
To Read the Entire Report Please Click on the pdf File Below.
- English (UK)
- English (India)
- English (Canada)
- English (Australia)
- English (South Africa)
- English (Philippines)
- English (Nigeria)
- Deutsch
- Español (España)
- Español (México)
- Français
- Italiano
- Nederlands
- Português (Portugal)
- Polski
- Português (Brasil)
- Русский
- Türkçe
- العربية
- Ελληνικά
- Svenska
- Suomi
- עברית
- 日本語
- 한국어
- 简体中文
- 繁體中文
- Bahasa Indonesia
- Bahasa Melayu
- ไทย
- Tiếng Việt
- हिंदी
Divergent Monetary Policy Between Norway And Sweden In December
Published 11/18/2013, 02:26 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
Divergent Monetary Policy Between Norway And Sweden In December
Latest comments
Loading next article…
Install Our App
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.