We have a nervous day ahead of us with the "soft" deadline for raising the debt ceiling set to be midnight in the US. If the deadline is missed, it does not mean that the federal government will immediately default on its payment obligations as the Treasury still has a small cash reserve, but it will obviously be negative for financial markets if an agreement is not reached today. It still looks most likely that we will get a late deal as a Senate bill should be able to get a majority in the House. The risks are mainly procedural in the sense that approval can get delayed in the Senate or the House majority does not allow a vote on the bill at all.
In light of the political drama unfolding today's data releases will only be secondary. In the UK the release of the September unemployment rate should get some attention, as the unemployment rate has become the most important UK release after the Bank of England committed to low interest rates until unemployment drops to 7.0%. Fed will publish its survey of regional economic developments in its Beige Book. Also keep an eye on Iranian talks regarding the country's nuclear programme. Finally, ECB president Mario Draghi is scheduled to speak at 20:00 CET.
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