Daily Report: Dollar Rebounded On Hawkish Fedspeaks

Published 05/04/2016, 06:39 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM

Dollar rebounded strongly overnight on comments of Fed officials. Atlanta Fed president Dennis Lockhart called June rate hike "a real option". And, two rate hikes this year "are certainly possible" as "we have enough meetings remaining but it depends entirely on how the economy evolves". San Francisco Fed president John Williams said the economic outlook is "pretty optimistic" and he took "a pretty strong signal from the employment side". And, Williams noted that it would be "appropriate" to raise rates in June. Dollar reversed the loss against most major currencies and is trading higher for the week except versus Euro and Swiss Franc.

Dollar index dived to as low as 91.91 yesterday but quickly recovered. The index is trying to draw support from key support zone of 92.62 and 38.2% retracement of 78.90 to 100.39 at 92.18. We main out view that price actions from 100.39 is a sideway consolidation pattern and thus, strong support should be seen around 92.18 to bring rebound. Focus is now back on 93.62 support turned resistance. Break there will affirm our view and bring near term reversal. However, sustained break of 92.18 will dampen our view and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 87.10.

Elsewhere, New Zealand employment rose more than expected by 1.2% qoq in Q1. But unemployment rate jumped to 5.7%. Eurozone will release services PMI final and retail sales. UK will release construction PMI in European session. ADP private employment from US will be the main focus with ISM services. US will also released trade balance, factory orders and non-farm productivity. Canada will also release trade balance.

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