EUR/USD
Today’s upside attempts from late NY’s hourly higher base at 1.1205, reinforced by daily 10/100SMA bull-cross, and so far holds below initial resistance at 1.1277, yesterday’s high, keeping intact breakpoint at 1.1290, Fibonacci 61.8% retracement of 1.1390/1.1130 pullback and lower top of 08 May. Neutral near-term technicals see scope for prolonged consolidation, before larger bulls re-assert for final attack at key 1.1390/1.1450 barriers. Initial sup/res lay at 1.1205/1.1290, with loss of 1.1200 handle, expected to expose pivotal higher base at 1.1130, while sustained break above 1.1290 opens 1.1390, 07 May peak.
Res: 1.1200; 1.1216; 1.1230; 1.1290
Sup: 1.1205; 1.1185; 1.1165; 1.1130
EUR/JPY
The cross formed hourly base at 133.47, where yesterday’s weakness found support, averting immediate risk of testing breakpoint at 133.09 higher low of 05 May, below which to trigger stronger correction of 126.08/135.98 rally. Price action remains underpinned by rising daily Tenkan-sen at 133.64, with daily 100SMA containing today’s price action. Overall tone remains bullish, with fresh acceleration higher and regain of minimum 135 barrier, Fibonacci 61.8% of 135.98/133.47 downleg, required to confirm near-term bulls for further recovery.
Res: 134.72; 135.00; 135.33; 135.98
Sup: 134.22; 134.00; 133.74; 133.47
GBP/USD
Cable remains well supported and extended rally from 1.5088 trough, to finally break and close above daily 200SMA and crack 1.5700, round-figure resistance. Strong bullish tone dominates on all timeframes and favors further upside, with fresh attempts higher, to be preceded by consolidation, as near-term studies are overbought. Session lows at 1.5657 mark immediate support, ahead of daily 200SMA at 1.5627 and former peak / yesterday’s low at 1.5551/55, expected to contain. Otherwise, deeper pullback could be expected on sustained break here, as daily studies are overbought, however, no reversal signal being generated yet.
Res: 1.5709; 1.5728; 1.5750; 1.5800
Sup: 1.5650; 1.5627; 1.5551; 1.5520
USD/JPY
Failure to sustain break above psychological 120 barrier and subsequent pullback that closed below, maintain weak/neutral near-term tone and favor further range trading, as short-term price action remains entrenched within 118.50/120.83 range. Fresh dips so far hold above pivotal 119.57/50 support are, higher low of 08 May / Fibonacci 61.8% of 119.04/120.26 rally and daily 20SMA, loss of which to weaken near-term structure. On the upside, 120 marks initial resistance, ahead of yesterday’s 120.26 peak and 120.50 lower top. Renewed attempts and close above 120 level, are needed to give positive signals.
Res: 120.00; 120.26; 120.50; 120.83
Sup: 119.70; 119.50; 119.04; 118.50
AUD/USD
The pair maintains positive near-term tone, following yesterday’s rally and today’s fresh extension higher that probed above psychological 0.80 barrier, Near-term price action consolidates within 0.7860/0.8008 range, with positively aligned near-term studies, favoring fresh attempts above 0.80 and attack at 0.8028, 06 May lower top, to open way for re-test of key short resistance ad range top at 0.8073, peak of 29 Apr. Bullish daily studies support the notion. Initial support lies at 0.7960, ahead of 0.7932, Fibonacci 61.8% of yesterday’s rally, loss of which would soften near-term tone.
Res: 0.8008; 0.8028; 0.8073; 0.8100
Sup: 0.7960; 0.7932; 0.7900; 0.7885
AUD/NZD
The cross enters near-term correction after yesterday’s fresh extension of larger uptrend that peaked at 1.0880. Quick pullback so far found footstep at 1.0765, keeping intact pivotal daily 200SMA at 1.0711. Overall strong bullish tone keeps the upside in focus, as yesterday’s rally closed above strong barriers at 1.0892, January’s former annual peak and 1.0810, Fibonacci 61.8% of larger 1.1301/1.0016 descend that gives positive signals for further acceleration. Pullback was triggered by overbought near-term studies and potential extension below 200SMA, should find next solid support at 1.0570, 07/08 May higher base / Fibonacci 38.2% of 1.0033/1.0880 rally.
Res: 1.0800; 1.0842; 1.0900; 1.0987
Sup: 1.0765; 1.0711; 1.0680; 1.0650
XAU/USD
Near-term structure shows signals of improvement, following yesterday’s rally that peaked at 1197 and closed at 1193, daily 20SMA. Immediate consolidation holds between 1191 and 1197 range, with fresh upside attempts to remain in play while 1191 support, also daily cloud base, holds. Attempts above psychological 1200 barrier are required to move daily indicators from neutral territory and signal further recovery. Otherwise, renewed weakness and holding below daily 20SMA, to confirm directionless mode, but to shift near-term risk lower. Higher base at 1178 offers initial support, ahead of short-term range bottom at 1170.
Res: 1197; 1200; 1207; 1215
Sup: 1191; 1188; 1183; 1180