Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.69; (P) 153.58; (R1) 154.17;
Within 4 hours, the MACD crossed below signal line. A temporary top has formed, and intraday bias has turned neutral. As long as 150.74 holds, further rally is still expected. Above 154.78 will extend the larger up trend to 100% projection of 125.67 to 147.97 from 140.37 at 162.67.
In the bigger picture, medium term fall from 163.05 has already completed at 116.83. It's a bit early to conclude reversal of the long term downtrend from 251.09 (2007 high). A rise from 116.83 should be a move at the same degree as fall from 163.05. Medium term rise is now expected back at 163.05. We'll stay bullish as long as 140.37 support holds.
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GBP/JPY" title="GBP/JPY" width="600" height="600">
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 129.01; (P) 129.68; (R1) 130.14;
Intraday bias in EUR/JPY stays neutral as consolidation from 131.12 could extend. Going below 127.05 will bring deeper decline. In that case, downside should be contained by 123.86 support and bring rebound. Eventually, an upside breakout is expected and a break of 131.12 will confirm resumption of larger uptrend and should target the 132.03 long term fibo level first.
In the bigger picture, whole downtrend from 169.96 (2008 high) has already completed at 94.11, on bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. The rise from there isn't finished yet, and is expected to continue to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 132.03 next. Eventually, such a rise would likely extend to 139.21 resistance and above. Break of 119.10 support is needed to be the first sign of medium term topping. Otherwise, outlook will stay bullish.
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EUR/JPY" title="EUR/JPY" width="600" height="600">