Daily Pivots: (S1) 152.05; (P) 153.82; (R1) 155.86;
GBP/JPY continues to consolidate below 156.77 short term top and intraday bias is neutral for more sideway trading. Another fall could be seen, but the downside should be contained by 146.42 support and bring rebound. At this point, we expect another rally to 100% projection of 125.67 to 147.97 from 140.37 at 162.67 after consolidations.
The medium term rise from 116.83 is still in progress. As noted before, whether such a rally is impulsive or corrective in nature, it's at least a move at the same degree as fall from 163.05. We expect current rise to extend to 163.05 resistance and above. We'll stay bullish as long as the 146.42 support holds.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.29; (P) 131.58; (R1) 133.20;
The EUR/JPY continues to consolidate below 133.80 short term top; intraday bias is neutral for more sideway trading. A deeper decline could be seen, but the downside should be contained above 124.84, which is close to 61.8% retracement from 119.10 to 133.80, to bring rebound. At this point, westill expect the larger rally to resume later to 61.8% projection of 100.32 to 127.70, from 119.10 at 136.02
In the bigger picture, the whole down trend from 169.96 (2008 high) has already completed at 94.11, on the bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. A rise from there has met mentioned 50% retracement of 169.96 to 94.11 at 132.03 already and there is no clear sign of reversal so far. Such a rally should now extend through 139.21 resistance to 61.8% retracement at 140.98. A break of 119.10 support is needed to confirm medium term topping. Otherwise, the outlook will stay bullish.