Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY

Published 03/09/2015, 05:08 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM
EUR/JPY
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GBP/JPY
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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 181.00; (P) 182.12; (R1) 182.77;

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains on the downside for the moment. Rebound from 175.49 has completed at 184.99 already. Deeper decline would be seen to 175.49 support. Break would extend the fall from 189.70 to 168.10 key support level next. On the upside, above 183.69 minor resistance will turn bias back to 184.99 resistance instead.

In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 lost much medium term momentum with bearish divergence condition seen in weekly MACD. Medium term top could be around the corner, if not formed. Break of 168.01 support will confirm this bearish case and bring deeper correction. Though, as long as 168.01 holds, the up trend could still extend to 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to 200 psychological level.

GBP/JPY 4 Hours Chart

GBP/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 130.36; (P) 131.46; (R1) 132.03;

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains on the downside for 130.13 support. Break will resume the whole fall from 149.76 and target next fibonacci level at 128.50. On the upside, above 133.57 minor resistance will dampen this bearish view and would extend the consolidation from 130.13 with another rise. But in that case, upside should be limited by 137.63 resistance to bring down trend resumption eventually.

In the bigger picture, a medium term top was formed at 149.76 on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper correction should now be seen to 38.2% retracement of 94.11 to 149.76 at 128.50 first. Based on current momentum, the correction could go deeper to 61.8% retracement at 115.36.

EUR/JPY 4 Hours Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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