GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 138.91; (P) 139.91; (R1) 140.72;
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral for consolidation above 138.65 temporary low. Near term outlook stays bearish with 142.75 resistance intact. Fall from 148.09 could still extend lower. In that case, we'd look for bottoming signal around 135.58, which is close to 135.39 fibonacci level, to bring rebound. Break of 142.75, nonetheless, will argue that fall from 148.09 is completed and turn bias back to the upside for this resistance.
In the bigger picture, while the fall from 148.09 is deeper than expected, we're not bearish in the cross yet. Price action from 148.42 is possibly developing into a sideway pattern with fall from 148.09 as the third leg. Deeper decline could be seen but we're looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside. Rise from 122.36 is still mildly in favor to resume at a later stage. However, sustained break of 135.58/39 will confirm reversal and target a retest on 122.36 low.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 122.58; (P) 123.10; (R1) 123.45;
EUR/JPY dips to as low as 122.39 so far as the correction from 125.80 extends. Deeper fall could still be seen. But we'd expect downside to be contained by 38.2% retracement of 114.84 to 125.80 at 121.61 to bring rise resumption. Above 124.03 minor resistance will turn bias back to the upside for 125.80/126.09 resistance zone. We're staying mildly bullish in the cross. And, break of 126.09 key resistance will extend the whole rebound from 109.03 to 100% projection of 109.03 to 124.08 from 114.84 at 129.89. Nonetheless, firm break of 121.61 will dampen our bullish view and bring deeper fall to 61.8% retracement at 119.02.
In the bigger picture, focus is staying on 126.09 support turned resistance. Decisive break there will confirm completion of the down trend from 149.76. And in such case, rise from 109.20 is at the same degree and should target 141.04 resistance and above. Meanwhile, rejection from 126.09 and break of 114.84 will extend the fall from 149.76 through 109.20 low.
