Daily Currency Outlook: GPB/JPY And EUR/JPY : July 14,2017

Published 07/14/2017, 04:58 AM
Updated 03/09/2019, 08:30 AM
EUR/JPY
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GBP/JPY
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GBP/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 145.79; (P) 146.33; (R1) 147.12

Intraday bias in GBP/JPY is turned neutral with the current recovery. But still, as short term top is formed at 147.76, deeper decline is in favor. Below 145.25 will turn bias to the downside for 55 day EMA (now at 143.70). Break there will target 135.58 key support level again. On the upside, though, decisive break of 148.09/42 will pave the way to long term fibonacci level at 150.43.

In the bigger picture, rise from medium term bottom at 122.36 is expected to continue to 38.2% retracement of 196.85 to 122.36 at 150.43. Decisive break there will carry long term bullish implications and pave the way to 61.8% retracement at 167.78. In case the sideway pattern from 148.42 extends, we'd be looking for strong support from 135.58 and 50% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 135.39 to contain downside.

GBP/JPY 4 Hour Chart
GBP/JPY Daily Chart

EUR/JPY Daily Outlook

Daily Pivots: (S1) 128.51; (P) 129.08; (R1) 129.68

Intraday bias in EUR/JPY remains neutral for consolidation below 130.76 temporary top. Near term outlook remains bullish as long as 127.99 support holds. Above 130.76 will target 100% projection of 114.84 to 125.80 from 122.39 at 133.35 next. However, considering bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, break of 127.99 will bring deeper pull back 55 day EMA (now at 125.24).

In the bigger picture, the break of 126.09 support turned resistance should have confirmed completion of down trend form 149.76 (2014 high), at 109.03 (2016 low). Current rise from 109.03 would now target 61.8% retracement of 149.76 to 109.03 at 134.20 and above. Medium term outlook will remain bullish as long as 122.39 support holds.

EUR/JPY 4 Hour Chart
EUR/JPY Daily Chart

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