GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 136.57; (P) 137.36; (R1) 138.26;
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remain son the downside for the moment. Current downside acceleration and break of 38.2% retracement of 122.36 to 148.42 at 138.46 suggests that whole corrective rise from 122.36 has completed at 148.42. Deeper fall should be seen to 61.8% retracement at 132.31 and below. On the upside, break of 142.16 support turned resistance is needed to indicate completion of such decline. Otherwise, outlook will stay bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 122.36 medium term bottom are seen as developing into a corrective pattern. Upside is so far limited by 38.2% retracement of 195.86 to 122.36 at 150.4 for setting the medium term range. At this point, we don't expect a break of 122.36 in near term and the corrective pattern would extend for a while.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 121.45; (P) 121.93; (R1) 122.27;
EUR/JPY's fall continues today and the break of 120.90 support indicates near term reversal. That is, the corrective rebound from 109.20 is likely completed at 124.08, ahead of 126.09 key resistance. Intraday bias is now on the downside for 118.45 cluster support (38.2% retracement of 109.20 to 124.08 at 118.39). Sustained break there will target 61.8% retracement at 114.88 and below. On the upside, above 122.41 resistance is needed to indicate completion of the decline. Otherwise, outlook will now stay bearish in case of recovery.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 109.20 medium term bottom are seen as part of a medium term corrective pattern from 149.76. There is prospect of another rise towards 126.09 key resistance level before completion. But even in that case, we'd expect strong resistance between 126.09 and 141.04 to limit upside, at least on first attempt. Sustained trading below 55 day EMA will pave the way to retest 109.20.
