GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 178.42; (P) 179.41; (R1) 181.09;
Intraday bias in GBP/JPY remains neutral as consolidation from 175.77 continues. We'd expect upside to be limited by 180.93 resistance and bring fall resumption. Sustained break of 175.77 will extend the fall from 189.70 to retest 168.01 key support level. Meanwhile, break of 180.93 will bring stronger rebound first.
In the bigger picture, the up trend from 116.83 is starting to lose medium term momentum again with bearish divergence condition seen in weekly MACD. Medium term top could be around the corner, if not formed. Break of 168.01 support will confirm this bearish case and bring deeper correction. Though, as long as 168.01 holds, the up trend could still extend to 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to 200 psychological level.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 133.24; (P) 134.19; (R1) 135.83;
The consolidation from 130.13 is still in progress and another rise could be seen to 135.34 and above. But in that case, we'd expect upside to be limited by 137.63 resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 132.37 minor support will turn bias to the downside for retesting 130.13 first. Break will extend recent down trend and target next medium term fibonacci level at 128.50.
In the bigger picture, the break of 134.13 support should confirm medium term topping at 149.76, on bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Deeper correction should now be seen to 38.2% retracement of 94.11 to 149.76 at 128.50 first. Based on current momentum, the correction could go deeper to 61.8% retracement at 115.36.
