GBP/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 182.10; (P) 182.86; (R1) 183.36;
GBP/JPY's fall from 188.79 is still in progress and intraday bias remains on the downside. As noted before, consolidation pattern from 180.36 has completed at 188.79 and deeper decline should be seen back to 180.36/64 support zone. Nonetheless, break of 183.96 minor resistance would dampen our bearish view and turn focus back to 186.33 resistance.
In the bigger picture, the breach of the medium term trend line support is taken as a sign of trend reversal. This is supported by bearish divergence condition in weekly MACD. Also, GBP/JPY was close to key cluster resistance of 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to 200 psychological level. Break of 174.86 will confirm trend reversal and bring deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 116.83 to 195.86 at 165.67. In case of another rise, we'll be cautious on strong resistance from 199.80/200.00 to bring reversal finally.
EUR/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 132.38; (P) 132.87; (R1) 133.16;
Outlook in EUR/JPY remains unchanged. EUR/JPY is staying inside near term falling channel and fall from 141.04 is expected to extend lower. Below 132.22 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 129.66 support first. Break will extend the fall from 141.04. In any case, outlook will stay bearish as long as EUR/JPY stays inside this falling channel.
In the bigger picture, price actions from 149.76 medium term top is viewed as corrective in nature. Strong rebound after failing to sustain below 38.2% retracement of 94.11 to 149.76 at 128.50 argues that it's developing into a sideway pattern. We'd expect more range trading between 126.09 and 149.76 in medium term. And that should then be followed by an upside breakout at a later stage. Nonetheless, decisive break of 126.09 would extend the correction towards 61.8% retracement at 115.36.
