USD/JPY Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 110.80; (P) 110.99; (R1) 111.28;
USD/JPY is staying in range of 110.58/112.14. Intraday bias remains neutral first. As noted before, the corrective fall from 113.17 is possibly not completed yet. Break of 110.58 will bring deeper decline. Nonetheless, in that case, we’d expect strong support from 38.2% retracement of 104.62 to 113.17 at 109.90 to bring rebound. On the upside, above 112.14 will target a test on 113.17 high.
In the bigger picture, corrective fall from 118.65 (2016 high) should have completed with three waves down to 104.62. Decisive break of 114.73 resistance will likely resume whole rally from 98.97 (2016 low) to 100% projection of 98.97 to 118.65 from 104.62 at 124.30, which is reasonably close to 125.85 (2015 high). This will stay as the preferred case as long as 109.36 support holds.
USD/CAD Daily Outlook
Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.3012; (P) 1.3038; (R1) 1.3076;
Intraday bias in USD/CAD remains neutral for the moment. At this point, we’re we’re holding on to the view that correction from 1.3385 could have completed with three waves down to 1.2961. Thus, another rise is expected. On the upside, above 1.3119 will target 1.3289 resistance. Decisive break there will confirm an target 1.3385 and above. In case of another fall, we’d continue to expect strong support from rising channel line (now at 1.2941) to contain downside to bring rebound.
In the bigger picture, as long as channel support (now at 1.2941) holds, we’re holding to the bullish view. That is, fall from 1.4689 (2015 high) has completed at 1.2061, ahead of 50% retracement of 0.9406 (2011 low) to 1.4689 (2015 high) at 1.2048. Further rally should be seen for 61.8% retracement of 1.4689 to 1.2061 at 1.3685 and above. However, sustained break of the channel support will argue that rise from 1.2061 has completed and will bring deeper fall to 1.2526 support to confirm.
